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paulcaraccio

leaderboard dominance?

January 03, 2013 at 11:32PM View BBCode

http://www.simdynasty.com/leaders.jsp?teamid=all&retired=all&stat=Hits&year=2011&display=20&submit=Go&leagueid=25

at the moment, i have a guy who leads the league in hits, with 47 more hits than the 2nd place guy. (15 games to go) i think it's the most notable gap between 1st and 2nd in any stat that i've ever seen. anyone have any comparable examples from any stat?

this guy's actually been dominating like nothing i've ever seen for 3 years now, and I don't understand it. His skills are very good, but the things he's doing are legendary, albeit for a non-playoff team. Over this season and the 2 prior, no other player has had more than 200 hits in a season (might happen this year) and he's gone over 230 all 3 times, with a real shot at 250 this time. Without actually doing the dirty work, I'd guess with legitimate certainty that he'll have over 100 more hits than any other player over a 3-year span, that seems pretty crazy to me. Two years ago, he led the league in 6 categories, last year 7, and this year he's a near-lock to pull off an octuple crown, with a chance even at 9 or 10.
nuzzy62

January 21, 2013 at 03:56AM View BBCode

That's pretty remarkable!
WillyD

January 21, 2013 at 05:05AM View BBCode

Remarkable, but possibly explained by the pitching quality in the league? Park factor. Obviously health is part of the reason for leading so many categories, but there must be some other reasons. Being a dynasty league, my first guess would be lack of pitching depth.
paulcaraccio

January 21, 2013 at 11:22PM View BBCode

I don't follow you on the lack of pitching depth hypothesis...wouldn't that result in more than 1 player reaping the benefits? A league-wide lack of pitching depth should result in many players piling up amazing stats, I would guess.

Park factor doesn't appear to explain it all either, he hit 11 points higher on the road, OPS'ed 27 points higher on the road, but he did hit way more doubles (30-19) and was way better at stealing bases at home (41 out of 48 at home, 29 out of 45 on road)

And health can explain some things like AB; but not why he finished with the highest AVG since 1955. Here's the final numbers (with the 2nd place total in parentheses):

H: 254 (205)
R: 153 (125)
OBP: .433 (.401)
OPS: .984 (.958) (led in OPS despite just 17 HR)
AVG: .370 (.334)
SB: 70 (43)
2B: 49 (38)
AB: 686 (649)
WillyD

January 22, 2013 at 02:00AM View BBCode

Bad pitching = good hitting.
More AB's = more hit, walks, 2B's, 3B's, runs, RBI, etc., etc.
More hits and more walks = more SB's.
Bad arm catchers or ones that aren't 100% at the position = extra SB's

Dont forget he might be able to bunt for hits too, which are essentailly automatic hits that would've been out otherwise. This can raise his AVG and OBP by a decent amount.

Also don't forget that the NL plays into this too. Does the NL have strong pitching and weak hitting? Do the better hitters in both divisions have average or poor health? There are many factors to consider. All in all, I'd say that the past 2 seasons have been outliers, at least in terms of AVG.

This type of hitter (w/ good health) typically leads the league in a few hitting categories:

[url=http://simdynasty.com/player.jsp?mode=player&playername=nobody&id=9635814]example 1[/url] is in a strong pitching league and leading some hitting categories, but the BA will likely never hit the .370's.

[url=http://simdynasty.com/player.jsp?id=6484930&statsorimps=past]Example 2[/url] also played in a strong pitching league

[url=http://simdynasty.com/player.jsp?id=5784398]Example 3[/url] was in a league with average pitching.

[url=http://simdynasty.com/player.jsp?mode=player&playername=nobody&id=7618983]Example 4[/url] is in a Dynasty league that has had average pitching. His power and speed are less than your players', but does have max contact vs. righties and 99 vs. lefties. By getting on base so many times he has been able to rack up a good amount of SB's.





[Edited on 1-22-2013 by WillyD]
Todibus

January 22, 2013 at 02:48AM View BBCode

Massey is an HOF level player having a career year at OS 31 (not that surprising) - an outlier year for sure, but fantastic nonetheless.

@WillyD: how do you measure league-wide pitching strength? If you don't mind sharing, lol!
Kingturtle

January 22, 2013 at 03:11AM View BBCode

Rudy Galasso finished a season 0.133 ahead of the next guy in OPS ( 0.196 above the next guy in the American League)

http://simdynasty.com/leaders.jsp?teamid=all&retired=all&stat=OPS&year=2010&display=20&submit=Go&leagueid=1202


[Edited on 1-22-2013 by Kingturtle]
paulcaraccio

January 22, 2013 at 06:27PM View BBCode

massey does get some bunt singles, that does account for part of it.

But I still don't see any explanation for why he's dominating and nobody else is...Again, if the pitching is bad, there should be more than one player killing it. Massey's team's pitching was middle of the road at best over the past 3 seasons. If bad pitching was the reason, I'd expect someone from the team with the best pitching to be dominating like this.

massey's got somethin special goin on, yous just need to accept it ;)

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