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Jughead

Bobby Jenks

January 19, 2009 at 09:38PM View BBCode

His K/9 was way down this year, but so was his ERA. Can one of you sabermaticians opine about his future effectiveness as a closer?
FuriousGiorge

January 20, 2009 at 01:28AM View BBCode

ERA is incredibly volatile for relief pitchers. Be concerned.
happy

January 20, 2009 at 01:31AM View BBCode

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8645&position=P

(the 2009 expectations are between 3.10 and 3.55)
sycophantman

January 20, 2009 at 01:35AM View BBCode

Originally posted by happy
http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8645&position=P

(the 2009 expectations are between 3.10 and 3.55)


Are you sure you should be posting that link, happy? I'm sure that many people would be upset to find their beloved fantasy baseball rendered completely irrelevant.
Benne

January 20, 2009 at 06:03AM View formatted

You are viewing the raw post code; this allows you to copy a message with BBCode formatting intact.
[quote][i]Originally posted by happy[/i]
http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8645&position=P

(the 2009 expectations are between 3.10 and 3.55) [/quote]


The weirder part is his LOB rate took a huge jump in '08 and he had a much lower BABIP than normal, meaning his ERA could have been even worse than it was. Those numbers are all but guaranteed to regress.

Jenks is still valuable even while carrying a mid-3's ERA, but if he doesn't re-discover his strikeout ability, then 2007 will probably be his peak.
Benne

January 20, 2009 at 06:04AM View BBCode

Originally posted by sycophantman
Originally posted by happy
http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=8645&position=P

(the 2009 expectations are between 3.10 and 3.55)


Are you sure you should be posting that link, happy? I'm sure that many people would be upset to find their beloved fantasy baseball rendered completely irrelevant.



Do people still play fantasy baseball?
Jughead

January 20, 2009 at 06:33AM View BBCode

That's how I make the money to play SD (slight exaggeration). But I am actually good at fantasy baseball, as opposed to the fifth place finishes I routinely come up with here.
happy

January 20, 2009 at 07:15AM View BBCode

A lot of saberheads are really good at fantasy baseball.

also, as its a relief pitcher, his low K rate (or even his high K rate in 07) may be largely statistical variance.

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