Sim Dynasty

View Old Forum Thread

Old Forum Index » Baseball League Forums » Speed Leagues » Bob Horner League » Why wins are a terrible measure of pitching success
tworoosters

Why wins are a terrible measure of pitching success

September 20, 2017 at 10:14PM View BBCode

If you are a real student of the game you already know that wins are a terrible way to measure a pitcher's success, there are just too many elements about getting the decision that are out of a pitcher's control.

Early in the year here in the BHL we have some great examples of why wins don't really measure a pitcher's success.

[url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?playername=nobody&mode=stats&id=12383454]John Matuszek[/url] currently 2nd in the league in ERA and 5th in WHIP with 1 win through 7 starts.[url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?playername=nobody&mode=stats&id=12409102]Jack Boehmer[/url] is 7th in ERA and 15th in WHIP with 2 wins to his credit and while my own [url=http://www.simdynasty.com/player.jsp?id=12332489&statsorimps=last10]Bennett Holiday[/url] is certainly respectable with 4 wins in 8 starts consider that in his 4 non decisions he has a WHIP of 1.06, 5th in the league, and an ERA of 2.32 which would be 2nd in the league .

I can remember years ago Tyson commenting about how if you found someone who had never watched baseball and explained it to them and then told them about the concept of a "winning pitcher" and how much import people placed on that stat they would think you were crazy.

[Edited on 9-20-2017 by tworoosters]
4EverGreen

September 20, 2017 at 10:48PM View BBCode

I always believed WHIP was a true measuring stick of a pitchers "personal" performance (and even that can be challenged, e.g., if you have a poor or great fielding team behind you). Wins obviously matter but I'd take pitchers with solid WHIPs any day over a "winning" pitcher with a high WHIP.
4EverGreen

September 21, 2017 at 02:16AM View BBCode

[url=http://simdynasty.com/player.jsp?player=nobody&mode=stats&id=12259571]Case in point[/url].
Cheezweezel

September 21, 2017 at 12:20PM View BBCode

Importance of the win stat in SimD is virtually nonexistent. In the real game though I would argue that it has some value because real pitchers can make in-game decisions that are team oriented rather than stat oriented (intentional walks, for instance, helping the team win the game but driving up the pitchers WHIP).
Hamilton2

September 21, 2017 at 06:51PM View BBCode

I sort of see your point, Cheez, but there are only like 1 intentional walk per every 2 games throughout MLB. That's not going to make a difference over the course of a season.

Quality Starts is a much better stat than Wins for measuring starter effectiveness and the overall rate stats (ERA, WHIP, K:BB ratio, FIP, etc.) are far more useful metrics than counting stats (innings, K's, W's, etc.) in evaluating pitcher performance.
spiderrtp

September 21, 2017 at 07:15PM View BBCode

6 IP's and 3 ER's (4.50 ERA) is hardly worth what I would call a 'quality start' but that's another debate...

Wins are a 'team' stat, and it's darn near impossible to realistically go by wins for a pitcher to evaluate them. WHIP then ERA are my first things that I check on pitchers (in the SIM and in real life) to take a look at how good a pitcher is. Even though even that can be deceiving...

Pages: 1